TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Filep and Mitchell Ayton in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Filep' if Andre Filep advances against Mitchell Ayton. This market will resolve to 'Mitchell Ayton' if Mitchell Ayton advances against Andre Filep. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Filep and Mitchell Ayton in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Filep' if Andre Filep advances against Mitchell Ayton. This market will resolve to 'Mitchell Ayton' if Mitchell Ayton advances against Andre Filep. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting where odds are set by a bookmaker.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Darwin M25 match, specifically determining the winner of the match between Andre Filep and Mitchell Ayton. The platform will rely on publicly available and verifiable sources to determine the accurate result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or acknowledge their losses based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Darwin M25 match might also impact predictions. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or analysis regarding the players' chances could cause the market to move. Significant trading volume itself can also create momentum, driving prices up or down as traders react to each other's actions.