TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Filep and Alec Braund in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Filep' if Andre Filep advances against Alec Braund. This market will resolve to 'Alec Braund' if Alec Braund advances against Andre Filep. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Filep and Alec Braund in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Filep' if Andre Filep advances against Alec Braund. This market will resolve to 'Alec Braund' if Alec Braund advances against Andre Filep. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each candidate winning the M25 Darwin election. As more shares are purchased for a particular candidate, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of the candidates' chances. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the M25 Darwin election are verifiable from credible public reporting. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official election will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from the official election authority, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders should monitor news sources for the official announcement of the election results as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major policy announcements from either candidate, significant endorsements, or shifts in public opinion revealed through polling data could all impact trading activity. Unexpected events, such as controversies or debates, could also cause the market to react. Furthermore, any news regarding voter turnout or changes to the electoral process could influence the perceived probabilities of each candidate winning the M25 Darwin election. Traders will be closely watching these developments and adjusting their positions accordingly.