TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis
polymarket

What is the result of Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis?

Volume:
N/A

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis

 - Polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set 1 Winner

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set 2 Winner

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set 2 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Match O/U 22.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Match O/U 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Adrian Arcon vs Jayden Tzirtis Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Arcon and Jayden Tzirtis in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Jayden Tzirtis. This market will resolve to 'Jayden Tzirtis' if Jayden Tzirtis advances against Adrian Arcon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Arcon and Jayden Tzirtis in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Jayden Tzirtis. This market will resolve to 'Jayden Tzirtis' if Jayden Tzirtis advances against Adrian Arcon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. This allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the M25 Darwin match.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Darwin match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The market will determine which competitor, Adrian Arcon or Jayden Tzirtis, is declared the winner of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in the market.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition or recent performance of either Adrian Arcon or Jayden Tzirtis would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule, venue, or potential rule changes could also shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, may also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each competitor's chances of winning could lead to movement in this market.