TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and Edward Winter in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Edward Winter. This market will resolve to 'Edward Winter' if Edward Winter advances against Sebastian Gorzny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and Edward Winter in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Edward Winter. This market will resolve to 'Edward Winter' if Edward Winter advances against Sebastian Gorzny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell, leading to odds that can sometimes be more accurate, especially when a significant amount of information isn't yet publicly available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gorzny vs Winter match as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports experts, updated rankings, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also play a role. Unexpected weather conditions, if the match is outdoors, or any controversies surrounding the event could also cause fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the perceived probabilities.