TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Quinn Vandecasteele and Aryan Shah in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Quinn Vandecasteele' if Quinn Vandecasteele advances against Aryan Shah. This market will resolve to 'Aryan Shah' if Aryan Shah advances against Quinn Vandecasteele. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Quinn Vandecasteele and Aryan Shah in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Quinn Vandecasteele' if Quinn Vandecasteele advances against Aryan Shah. This market will resolve to 'Aryan Shah' if Aryan Shah advances against Quinn Vandecasteele. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, the odds on Polymarket may diverge. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there's strong public information or a perceived mispricing. However, sportsbook odds still represent a valuable data point for comparison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Trading volume and order flow influence these price movements, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Austin, TX tennis match between Quinn Vandecasteele and Aryan Shah. The player who wins the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will be the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's result.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one player – could drive price changes. Even public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could impact trader behavior and, consequently, the market's price.