TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mason Vaughan and Abel Forger in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mason Vaughan' if Mason Vaughan advances against Abel Forger. This market will resolve to 'Abel Forger' if Abel Forger advances against Mason Vaughan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mason Vaughan and Abel Forger in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mason Vaughan' if Mason Vaughan advances against Abel Forger. This market will resolve to 'Abel Forger' if Abel Forger advances against Mason Vaughan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced the event, we may see divergence between the two. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s substantial public interest and trading volume in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability assigned to it rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving forecast for the Mason Vaughan vs Abel Forger match. This allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mason Vaughan vs Abel Forger match as declared by the relevant governing body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either Mason Vaughan or Abel Forger would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Updates on their training regimens, weight class status, or changes in their coaching staff could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts, public polls, and even social media buzz surrounding the fight could all contribute to movement in this market. Unexpected announcements regarding the fight’s venue or broadcast details might also play a role in how traders position themselves.