TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Roger Pascual Ferra in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Roger Pascual Ferra. This market will resolve to 'Roger Pascual Ferra' if Roger Pascual Ferra advances against Lui Maxted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Roger Pascual Ferra in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Roger Pascual Ferra. This market will resolve to 'Roger Pascual Ferra' if Roger Pascual Ferra advances against Lui Maxted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's a useful comparison for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maxted vs. Pascual Ferra match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more the price will reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maxted vs. Pascual Ferra match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. Traders will then be paid out according to their holdings in the winning outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Lui Maxted or Roger Pascual Ferra would likely have a substantial impact. Updates on their training regimens, recent performance in other matches, or even changes in coaching strategies could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements relating to the match venue or conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis, could also influence trading activity and alter the prices in this market.