TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Cosme Rolland de Ravel in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Cosme Rolland de Ravel. This market will resolve to 'Cosme Rolland de Ravel' if Cosme Rolland de Ravel advances against Lui Maxted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Cosme Rolland de Ravel in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Cosme Rolland de Ravel. This market will resolve to 'Cosme Rolland de Ravel' if Cosme Rolland de Ravel advances against Lui Maxted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and the higher the price of a share, the greater the perceived chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Austin tennis match between Lui Maxted and Cosme Rolland de Ravel. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, large trades by influential participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the players and the tournament will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.