TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jonah Braswell and Iker Urribarrens Ramirez in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonah Braswell' if Jonah Braswell advances against Iker Urribarrens Ramirez. This market will resolve to 'Iker Urribarrens Ramirez' if Iker Urribarrens Ramirez advances against Jonah Braswell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jonah Braswell and Iker Urribarrens Ramirez in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonah Braswell' if Jonah Braswell advances against Iker Urribarrens Ramirez. This market will resolve to 'Iker Urribarrens Ramirez' if Iker Urribarrens Ramirez advances against Jonah Braswell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the M25 Austin tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Austin, TX: Jonah Braswell vs Iker Urribarrens Ramirez tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player will determine the outcome, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and following the tournament’s progress will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.