TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James Quattro and Luca Pow in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Quattro' if James Quattro advances against Luca Pow. This market will resolve to 'Luca Pow' if Luca Pow advances against James Quattro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James Quattro and Luca Pow in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Quattro' if James Quattro advances against Luca Pow. This market will resolve to 'Luca Pow' if Luca Pow advances against James Quattro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes there’s an edge not yet priced in by sportsbooks, or vice versa. It's important to note that these are independent assessments of probability, and neither is guaranteed to be more accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, while selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and their evolving expectations regarding the M25 Austin match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the James Quattro vs Luca Pow match in M25 Austin, TX. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available and trusted sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either James Quattro or Luca Pow could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also shift perceptions of each player’s chances. Furthermore, broader trends in the M25 competitive scene or public sentiment could play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.