TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Debru and Zachary Fuchs in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Debru' if Gabriel Debru advances against Zachary Fuchs. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Fuchs' if Zachary Fuchs advances against Gabriel Debru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Debru and Zachary Fuchs in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Debru' if Gabriel Debru advances against Zachary Fuchs. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Fuchs' if Zachary Fuchs advances against Gabriel Debru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the debate. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Austin debate between Gabriel Debru and Zachary Fuchs, as determined by the debate organizers and widely reported by reputable news sources. The outcome will be assessed based on which debater is judged to have performed better, as determined by the official judging panel for the event.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding the preparation or strategy of either Gabriel Debru or Zachary Fuchs could shift the odds. Public statements, interviews, or leaked information about their arguments could also significantly impact the market. Furthermore, broader discussions about the debate topics or the perceived importance of the event itself could sway traders’ opinions. Unexpected events affecting either debater’s ability to participate could also lead to substantial price movements.