TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Bynoe and Shu Matsuoka in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Bynoe' if Evan Bynoe advances against Shu Matsuoka. This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Evan Bynoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Bynoe and Shu Matsuoka in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Bynoe' if Evan Bynoe advances against Shu Matsuoka. This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Evan Bynoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on player form, injury news, or even external factors influencing the match. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results, driven by the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Austin match between Evan Bynoe and Shu Matsuoka. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to this date for any updates that might affect the event.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, broader developments in the M25 circuit or the players' overall rankings might affect how traders assess their chances of success. Monitoring these factors closely will be key to understanding potential movements in this market before Oct 19, 2026.