TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 6:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Devin Badenhorst and Micah Braswell in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Devin Badenhorst' if Devin Badenhorst advances against Micah Braswell. This market will resolve to 'Micah Braswell' if Micah Braswell advances against Devin Badenhorst. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Devin Badenhorst and Micah Braswell in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Devin Badenhorst' if Devin Badenhorst advances against Micah Braswell. This market will resolve to 'Micah Braswell' if Micah Braswell advances against Devin Badenhorst. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception. This market, like others, can sometimes show divergence from sportsbook odds as traders weigh different factors and information. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those found at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share, effectively forecasting the outcome of the Badenhorst vs Braswell match. Volume and open interest also play a role in price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Badenhorst vs Braswell match as determined by the governing body of the event. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or strategic announcements from either Devin Badenhorst or Micah Braswell could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preliminary matches or shifts in expert analysis could also lead to price adjustments. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or sports news, can also play a role, although to a lesser extent. Major upsets in related events or unexpected weather conditions could also impact trading activity.