TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 6:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cosme Rolland de Ravel and Raphael Perot in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cosme Rolland de Ravel' if Cosme Rolland de Ravel advances against Raphael Perot. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Perot' if Raphael Perot advances against Cosme Rolland de Ravel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cosme Rolland de Ravel and Raphael Perot in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cosme Rolland de Ravel' if Cosme Rolland de Ravel advances against Raphael Perot. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Perot' if Raphael Perot advances against Cosme Rolland de Ravel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, potentially offering more favorable odds for informed traders. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, while this market relies solely on traders' willingness to buy or sell.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Austin tennis match between Cosme Rolland de Ravel and Raphael Perot. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injuries or recent match results for either Cosme Rolland de Ravel or Raphael Perot, could significantly impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment could all contribute to movements in this market before Oct 21, 2026.