TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cosme Rolland de Ravel and Hiroki Sakagawa in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cosme Rolland de Ravel' if Cosme Rolland de Ravel advances against Hiroki Sakagawa. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Sakagawa' if Hiroki Sakagawa advances against Cosme Rolland de Ravel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cosme Rolland de Ravel and Hiroki Sakagawa in the M25 Austin, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cosme Rolland de Ravel' if Cosme Rolland de Ravel advances against Hiroki Sakagawa. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Sakagawa' if Hiroki Sakagawa advances against Cosme Rolland de Ravel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in margins and perceived public biases. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying risk appetites among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cosme Rolland vs Hiroki Sakagawa match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. News regarding the athletes' training, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or changes to the event schedule could also cause volatility. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by actual trading activity. Any significant development related to either Cosme Rolland or Hiroki Sakagawa has the potential to move this market.