TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 7:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Willwerth and Micah Braswell in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Willwerth' if Benjamin Willwerth advances against Micah Braswell. This market will resolve to 'Micah Braswell' if Micah Braswell advances against Benjamin Willwerth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Willwerth and Micah Braswell in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Willwerth' if Benjamin Willwerth advances against Micah Braswell. This market will resolve to 'Micah Braswell' if Micah Braswell advances against Benjamin Willwerth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply variations in opinion. If significant differences emerge, it may suggest that the market perceives a different probability of either competitor winning than the sportsbook does, potentially identifying opportunities for value betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome of the Willwerth vs Braswell match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Willwerth vs Braswell match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, as declared by the governing body or event organizers. The platform will then verify this information and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Benjamin Willwerth or Micah Braswell, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift expectations. Public statements from either competitor or their teams, or analysis from sports commentators, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any unexpected developments related to the match itself, like venue changes or rule adjustments, may cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions.