TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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M25 Austin, TX: Alastair Gray vs Spencer Johnson
polymarket

What is the result of Alastair Gray vs Spencer Johnson?

Volume:
$17,894

M25 Austin, TX: Alastair Gray vs Spencer Johnson

 - Polymarket

M25 Austin, TX: Alastair Gray vs Spencer Johnson - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 9:01 PM EST

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Chance %
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Volume
24h
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Result
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M25 Austin, TX: Alastair Gray vs Spencer Johnson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Austin, TX: Alastair Gray vs Spencer Johnson Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Austin, TX: Alastair Gray vs Spencer Johnson Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Alastair Gray and Spencer Johnson in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Spencer Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Alastair Gray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Alastair Gray and Spencer Johnson in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Spencer Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Alastair Gray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the M25 Austin chess match tracks the current odds of each player winning, represented as probabilities. It also displays the price history, showing how these probabilities have changed over time as traders buy and sell shares. Additionally, you can see the 24-hour trading volume, which indicates how much activity there has been in this market recently. Currently, the total volume is $17,894, and the overall volume since the market opened is $17,894. This information provides a real-time view of how the prediction market is assessing the likely outcome of the match.

Frequently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If polls or analysts favor one player, we might see that reflected in the price of shares, but it’s not guaranteed. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ strengths. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Austin chess match between Alastair Gray and Spencer Johnson. The player declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will use publicly available information to verify the result and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, health, or preparation could shift expectations. For example, reports of one player experiencing a strong winning streak or the other facing illness could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as a change in venue or time control, could also cause movement. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, potentially driving price changes.