TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alastair Gray and Dominick Mosejczuk in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Dominick Mosejczuk. This market will resolve to 'Dominick Mosejczuk' if Dominick Mosejczuk advances against Alastair Gray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alastair Gray and Dominick Mosejczuk in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Dominick Mosejczuk. This market will resolve to 'Dominick Mosejczuk' if Dominick Mosejczuk advances against Alastair Gray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle, as prediction markets can be more responsive to new information and less influenced by pre-conceived biases. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket may converge with those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective sentiment of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alastair Gray vs Dominick Mosejczuk match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Alastair Gray or Dominick Mosejczuk could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in related matches or shifts in public opinion could also drive trading volume and alter the odds. Furthermore, major announcements regarding tournament standings or qualification criteria could introduce new information that traders incorporate into their assessments, leading to price adjustments on Polymarket.