TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Baluska and Yannis Batsabaken in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Baluska' if Yannick Baluska advances against Yannis Batsabaken. This market will resolve to 'Yannis Batsabaken' if Yannis Batsabaken advances against Yannick Baluska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Baluska and Yannis Batsabaken in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Baluska' if Yannick Baluska advances against Yannis Batsabaken. This market will resolve to 'Yannis Batsabaken' if Yannis Batsabaken advances against Yannick Baluska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket can refine those estimates as new information becomes available and more people participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Rodez tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by the official result of the Yannick Baluska vs Yannis Batsabaken tennis match in Rodez. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also affect sentiment. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed individuals or groups could also cause noticeable price movements in the lead-up to Oct 12, 2026.