TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sean HODKIN and Thomas Gerbaud in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sean HODKIN' if Sean HODKIN advances against Thomas Gerbaud. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Sean HODKIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sean HODKIN and Thomas Gerbaud in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sean HODKIN' if Sean HODKIN advances against Thomas Gerbaud. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Sean HODKIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can buy or sell shares, driving the prediction market odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Rodez tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sean HODKIN vs Thomas Gerbaud tennis match in Rodez. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could trigger price swings, as could any public statements or analysis from tennis experts that challenge the current market consensus.