TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Octave Caillat and Jaume Casas Blasi in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Octave Caillat' if Octave Caillat advances against Jaume Casas Blasi. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Casas Blasi' if Jaume Casas Blasi advances against Octave Caillat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Octave Caillat and Jaume Casas Blasi in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Octave Caillat' if Octave Caillat advances against Jaume Casas Blasi. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Casas Blasi' if Jaume Casas Blasi advances against Octave Caillat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, which influences the implied probability. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks might initially set odds based on player rankings and historical data, this market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly, reflecting a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official result of the Octave Caillat versus Jaume Casas Blasi tennis match in Rodez. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The final result will determine which shares pay out and at what value.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader tournament upsets, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations, and overall market volume could increase as the match draws closer, leading to more dynamic pricing.