TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Cardinaud and Jaume Casas Blasi in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Cardinaud' if Hugo Cardinaud advances against Jaume Casas Blasi. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Casas Blasi' if Jaume Casas Blasi advances against Hugo Cardinaud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Cardinaud and Jaume Casas Blasi in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Cardinaud' if Hugo Cardinaud advances against Jaume Casas Blasi. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Casas Blasi' if Jaume Casas Blasi advances against Hugo Cardinaud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise for those who can trade on Polymarket and at a sportsbook simultaneously. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment of who will win the match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and trading activity, providing a dynamic reflection of expectations for the Rodez tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Hugo Cardinaud and Jaume Casas Blasi, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor the official tournament updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price movements, and general shifts in public opinion regarding the players' chances could also affect the market.