TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gijs Brouwer and Timeo Trufelli in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gijs Brouwer' if Gijs Brouwer advances against Timeo Trufelli. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Trufelli' if Timeo Trufelli advances against Gijs Brouwer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gijs Brouwer and Timeo Trufelli in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gijs Brouwer' if Gijs Brouwer advances against Timeo Trufelli. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Trufelli' if Timeo Trufelli advances against Gijs Brouwer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there is significant information asymmetry or a strong bias in the sportsbook's initial lines. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of information and market participation.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s aggregate assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Brouwer vs Trufelli match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Brouwer vs Trufelli match, as declared by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Gijs Brouwer or Timeo Trufelli could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any pre-match interviews offering insights into player strategies could also move the market as traders react to new information.