TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Jade and Adrien Gobat in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Adrien Gobat. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Daniel Jade. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Jade and Adrien Gobat in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Adrien Gobat. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Daniel Jade. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Comparing these odds to those found at sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing, potentially indicating an edge for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Daniel Jade vs Adrien Gobat match as reported by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also cause the market to move. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their informed opinions or strategic positioning.