TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 8:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Axel Garcian and Guillaume Dalmasso in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Axel Garcian' if Axel Garcian advances against Guillaume Dalmasso. This market will resolve to 'Guillaume Dalmasso' if Guillaume Dalmasso advances against Axel Garcian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Axel Garcian and Guillaume Dalmasso in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Axel Garcian' if Axel Garcian advances against Guillaume Dalmasso. This market will resolve to 'Guillaume Dalmasso' if Guillaume Dalmasso advances against Axel Garcian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals betting with their own capital. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Garcian vs Dalmasso match. Comparing these odds can highlight areas where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Garcian vs Dalmasso match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Garcian vs Dalmasso match, as officially recorded by the relevant tennis authorities, will determine the winning outcome. This includes verifying the final score and confirming that the match was completed according to the official rules. The platform will then finalize the market and distribute payouts to traders holding winning shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market leading up to Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis rankings, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from influential participants could create momentum and drive price fluctuations in the Garcian vs Dalmasso match.