TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Noah Malige in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Noah Malige. This market will resolve to 'Noah Malige' if Noah Malige advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Noah Malige in the M15+H Rodez, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Noah Malige. This market will resolve to 'Noah Malige' if Noah Malige advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and profit margins into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly assessing the probability of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes value lies compared to traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, and changes based on supply and demand for shares related to the Kobelt vs Malige match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15+H Rodez match between Alex Kobelt and Noah Malige. The platform will rely on publicly available and verifiable sources to determine the winner of the match. The final outcome will be determined by the official match results, and the shares will be settled accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Alex Kobelt or Noah Malige could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might lead to reassessments of player capabilities, influencing trading activity and ultimately moving the odds in this market.