TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Calvin Mueller in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Adrien Gobat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Calvin Mueller in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Adrien Gobat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessments, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, as information asymmetry and differing opinions influence pricing. Comparing these odds can provide a broader view of potential outcomes for the Gobat vs Mueller match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Gobat vs Mueller match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the probability of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gobat vs Mueller match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants could temporarily impact the odds, reflecting a strong conviction in a particular outcome for the Gobat vs Mueller match.