TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Tomida and Yuto Oki in the M15 Yanagawa City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Yuto Oki. This market will resolve to 'Yuto Oki' if Yuto Oki advances against Yuta Tomida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Tomida and Yuto Oki in the M15 Yanagawa City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Yuto Oki. This market will resolve to 'Yuto Oki' if Yuto Oki advances against Yuta Tomida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insight into where the market finds value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Yuta Tomida and Yuto Oki. Any official announcements or results released by the governing body will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially verified and reported.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Yuta Tomida or Yuto Oki, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in their recent performance, or announcements about their training regimens, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the broader competitive landscape, or even shifts in public perception, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Nov 6, 2026.