TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yua Taka and Riku Nakamoto in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yua Taka' if Yua Taka advances against Riku Nakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Riku Nakamoto' if Riku Nakamoto advances against Yua Taka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yua Taka and Riku Nakamoto in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yua Taka' if Yua Taka advances against Riku Nakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Riku Nakamoto' if Riku Nakamoto advances against Yua Taka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the Yua Taka vs. Riku Nakamoto match in Yanagawa City will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the official results from a trusted source to ensure accurate settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either Yua Taka or Riku Nakamoto might also impact their perceived chances of success. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 2, 2026.