TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Kentaro Otsuka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Kentaro Otsuka. This market will resolve to 'Kentaro Otsuka' if Kentaro Otsuka advances against Takuya Kumasaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Kentaro Otsuka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Kentaro Otsuka. This market will resolve to 'Kentaro Otsuka' if Kentaro Otsuka advances against Takuya Kumasaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure decreases the price and probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Kumasaka vs Otsuka match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Takuya Kumasaka and Kentaro Otsuka. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive payouts based on the final share prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market is primarily driven by trading activity on Polymarket. Major upsets in other related matches could also influence traders’ perceptions and lead to adjustments in the odds.