TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Hayato Tokoda in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Hayato Tokoda. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Tokoda' if Hayato Tokoda advances against Takuya Kumasaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Hayato Tokoda in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Hayato Tokoda. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Tokoda' if Hayato Tokoda advances against Takuya Kumasaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Kumasaka vs Tokoda match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City fight between Takuya Kumasaka and Hayato Tokoda, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the basis for resolution.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, injuries, or changes to their strategies could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, analysis from boxing experts, or even shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks could all serve as catalysts. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as a late change in opponents or venue, would also likely cause substantial movement in this market.