TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between TAKUMI KATSUDA and Natsuki Yamamoto in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'TAKUMI KATSUDA' if TAKUMI KATSUDA advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against TAKUMI KATSUDA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between TAKUMI KATSUDA and Natsuki Yamamoto in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'TAKUMI KATSUDA' if TAKUMI KATSUDA advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against TAKUMI KATSUDA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive structure, encouraging traders to express their true beliefs and capitalize on mispricings.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between TAKUMI KATSUDA and Natsuki Yamamoto. The platform will rely on established sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official announcements and reporting to stay informed about the event’s progress and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, even if it’s not based on concrete information. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments could also introduce volatility. Ultimately, any event that alters the perceived probability of either athlete winning will likely cause movement in this market.