TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between takuma kawakami and Kazushi Idogaki in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'takuma kawakami' if takuma kawakami advances against Kazushi Idogaki. This market will resolve to 'Kazushi Idogaki' if Kazushi Idogaki advances against takuma kawakami. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between takuma kawakami and Kazushi Idogaki in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'takuma kawakami' if takuma kawakami advances against Kazushi Idogaki. This market will resolve to 'Kazushi Idogaki' if Kazushi Idogaki advances against takuma kawakami. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Kawakami vs Idogaki match. This allows traders to express their beliefs and profit from correctly predicting the result.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kawakami vs Idogaki match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for settling the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either fighter, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in public perception, driven by analyst predictions or media coverage, could also affect trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the match itself, like a venue change or rule modification, might also shift the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning will likely be reflected in the market’s price.