TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Taki Adachi and Ryo Minakata in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taki Adachi' if Taki Adachi advances against Ryo Minakata. This market will resolve to 'Ryo Minakata' if Ryo Minakata advances against Taki Adachi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taki Adachi and Ryo Minakata in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taki Adachi' if Taki Adachi advances against Ryo Minakata. This market will resolve to 'Ryo Minakata' if Ryo Minakata advances against Taki Adachi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Taki Adachi and Ryo Minakata. Any official announcements regarding the match result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could all shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to changes in the price of shares. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.