TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryusuke Kataoka and Kentaro Otsuka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryusuke Kataoka' if Ryusuke Kataoka advances against Kentaro Otsuka. This market will resolve to 'Kentaro Otsuka' if Kentaro Otsuka advances against Ryusuke Kataoka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryusuke Kataoka and Kentaro Otsuka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryusuke Kataoka' if Ryusuke Kataoka advances against Kentaro Otsuka. This market will resolve to 'Kentaro Otsuka' if Kentaro Otsuka advances against Ryusuke Kataoka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Ryusuke Kataoka and Kentaro Otsuka. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and confirmed on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Ryusuke Kataoka or Kentaro Otsuka, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance, or any strategic adjustments announced by their teams, could also shift the odds. Public sentiment, as expressed through social media or expert analysis, may also play a role in shaping market perceptions and driving trading volume. Unexpected developments leading up to Nov 2, 2026 could all contribute to price movements.