TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Riku Takahata and Yu Tanaka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Riku Takahata' if Riku Takahata advances against Yu Tanaka. This market will resolve to 'Yu Tanaka' if Yu Tanaka advances against Riku Takahata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Riku Takahata and Yu Tanaka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Riku Takahata' if Riku Takahata advances against Yu Tanaka. This market will resolve to 'Yu Tanaka' if Yu Tanaka advances against Riku Takahata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those found here, it could indicate differing expert opinions or a perceived edge by market participants. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Riku Takahata will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, increased belief in Yu Tanaka’s victory will drive up the price of shares for that outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Riku Takahata and Yu Tanaka. Any official announcements or results from recognized sporting authorities will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding the players’ recent performance, any reported injuries, or changes in training regimens could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or even weather forecasts (if applicable) could also play a role. Major upsets in similar matches leading up to the event might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price adjustments in this market.