TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Reiya Komagata and Kenta Kawada in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reiya Komagata' if Reiya Komagata advances against Kenta Kawada. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Kawada' if Kenta Kawada advances against Reiya Komagata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Reiya Komagata and Kenta Kawada in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reiya Komagata' if Reiya Komagata advances against Kenta Kawada. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Kawada' if Kenta Kawada advances against Reiya Komagata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares, and there are no external factors influencing the pricing process on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Reiya Komagata and Kenta Kawada. The platform will identify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official fight records and sports news outlets. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their recent performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Public statements from analysts or experts offering predictions could also influence market sentiment. Furthermore, betting activity itself can be a signal; a large influx of volume on one outcome suggests increased confidence in that result. Unexpected developments leading up to the match, such as changes in fight location or rules, could also move the market.