TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Shibano and Taiyo Yamanaka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Shibano' if Kosuke Shibano advances against Taiyo Yamanaka. This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Yamanaka' if Taiyo Yamanaka advances against Kosuke Shibano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Shibano and Taiyo Yamanaka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Shibano' if Kosuke Shibano advances against Taiyo Yamanaka. This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Yamanaka' if Taiyo Yamanaka advances against Kosuke Shibano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s probabilities are determined by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Kosuke Shibano and Taiyo Yamanaka. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the final result.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as weather impacts, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from respected sports commentators could influence traders’ decisions and cause the market to move. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds before Nov 5, 2026.