TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Kawada and Natsuki Yamamoto in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Kawada' if Kenta Kawada advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Kenta Kawada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Kawada and Natsuki Yamamoto in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Kawada' if Kenta Kawada advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Kenta Kawada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when information is sparse or subjective. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies between the two can highlight interesting areas for further investigation. It’s important to consider that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Kenta Kawada and Natsuki Yamamoto. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Kenta Kawada or Natsuki Yamamoto, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause price fluctuations. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions on the day of the event could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or public statements from either competitor or their teams could also shift the odds. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential market movements.