TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuma Kawachi and Shinji Hazawa in the M15 Yanagawa City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuma Kawachi' if Kazuma Kawachi advances against Shinji Hazawa. This market will resolve to 'Shinji Hazawa' if Shinji Hazawa advances against Kazuma Kawachi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuma Kawachi and Shinji Hazawa in the M15 Yanagawa City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuma Kawachi' if Kazuma Kawachi advances against Shinji Hazawa. This market will resolve to 'Shinji Hazawa' if Shinji Hazawa advances against Kazuma Kawachi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price of shares fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the Yanagawa City M15 match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yanagawa City M15 match between Kazuma Kawachi and Shinji Hazawa. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Kazuma Kawachi or Shinji Hazawa could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting markets could trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities in this market.