TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kanta Watanabe and Hugo Hashimoto in the M15 Yanagawa City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kanta Watanabe' if Kanta Watanabe advances against Hugo Hashimoto. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Hashimoto' if Hugo Hashimoto advances against Kanta Watanabe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kanta Watanabe and Hugo Hashimoto in the M15 Yanagawa City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kanta Watanabe' if Kanta Watanabe advances against Hugo Hashimoto. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Hashimoto' if Hugo Hashimoto advances against Kanta Watanabe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially for events with significant public interest and available data. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation beyond the actions of traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Kanta Watanabe and Hugo Hashimoto. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding the fighters’ training, health status, or any potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from trainers or analysts offering predictions could also impact market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match, such as changes in venue or rules, might also cause fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move this market.