TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hien Pham and Chikaya Sato in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hien Pham' if Hien Pham advances against Chikaya Sato. This market will resolve to 'Chikaya Sato' if Chikaya Sato advances against Hien Pham. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hien Pham and Chikaya Sato in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hien Pham' if Hien Pham advances against Chikaya Sato. This market will resolve to 'Chikaya Sato' if Chikaya Sato advances against Hien Pham. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Yanagawa City match between Hien Pham and Chikaya Sato. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. The final price of shares in this market will reflect the actual result of the match, providing a payout to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Hien Pham or Chikaya Sato, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in their recent performance or rankings could also shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match itself, like venue changes or altered rules, could also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning has the potential to move this market.