TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aoi Miyoshi and Yu Tanaka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aoi Miyoshi' if Aoi Miyoshi advances against Yu Tanaka. This market will resolve to 'Yu Tanaka' if Yu Tanaka advances against Aoi Miyoshi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aoi Miyoshi and Yu Tanaka in the M15 Yanagawa City, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aoi Miyoshi' if Aoi Miyoshi advances against Yu Tanaka. This market will resolve to 'Yu Tanaka' if Yu Tanaka advances against Aoi Miyoshi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate significantly based on incoming information and shifts in trader sentiment. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each possible result of the Miyoshi vs Tanaka match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aoi Miyoshi vs Yu Tanaka match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the athletes’ recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements, expert analyses, and even social media discussions can all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also impact the perceived probabilities, causing traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids accordingly.