TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuushin Shimizu and Daisuke Sumizawa in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuushin Shimizu' if Yuushin Shimizu advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against Yuushin Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuushin Shimizu and Daisuke Sumizawa in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuushin Shimizu' if Yuushin Shimizu advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against Yuushin Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and adjusts in real-time based on new information and trading activity. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura: Yuushin Shimizu vs Daisuke Sumizawa match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The market will determine which fighter is officially recognized as the winner of the match. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fighters' physical condition or any controversies surrounding the event could also lead to significant shifts in the market. Publicly available analysis from MMA experts and any shifts in betting odds from sportsbooks might also influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of shares in this market.