TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between YUKI KARATSU and Daisuke Sumizawa in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'YUKI KARATSU' if YUKI KARATSU advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against YUKI KARATSU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between YUKI KARATSU and Daisuke Sumizawa in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'YUKI KARATSU' if YUKI KARATSU advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against YUKI KARATSU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in trading.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura: YUKI KARATSU vs Daisuke Sumizawa match. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive result that will trigger the market’s closure.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or performance could also cause significant movement. Traders should remain vigilant and monitor these signals to make informed decisions.