TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yua Taka and Sena Okabe in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yua Taka' if Yua Taka advances against Sena Okabe. This market will resolve to 'Sena Okabe' if Sena Okabe advances against Yua Taka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yua Taka and Sena Okabe in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yua Taka' if Yua Taka advances against Sena Okabe. This market will resolve to 'Sena Okabe' if Sena Okabe advances against Yua Taka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Tanagura boxing match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Tanagura match, determining which fighter, Yua Taka or Sena Okabe, is declared the winner. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the market and distributing payouts to share holders based on the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches would also be influential. Public analysis from boxing experts and shifts in betting lines at traditional sportsbooks could also drive price movement in this market as traders incorporate new information into their predictions about the Tanagura boxing match.