TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yoshitaka Tashima and Dorian Makarski in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yoshitaka Tashima' if Yoshitaka Tashima advances against Dorian Makarski. This market will resolve to 'Dorian Makarski' if Dorian Makarski advances against Yoshitaka Tashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yoshitaka Tashima and Dorian Makarski in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yoshitaka Tashima' if Yoshitaka Tashima advances against Dorian Makarski. This market will resolve to 'Dorian Makarski' if Dorian Makarski advances against Yoshitaka Tashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is influenced by new information, expert opinions, and overall trading activity, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tashima vs Makarski match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports experts, particularly those specializing in this sport, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can indicate informed betting activity and potentially trigger price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the odds leading up to Oct 25, 2026.