TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Toshiki Karigyo and CHOMA MASUDA in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toshiki Karigyo' if Toshiki Karigyo advances against CHOMA MASUDA. This market will resolve to 'CHOMA MASUDA' if CHOMA MASUDA advances against Toshiki Karigyo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Toshiki Karigyo and CHOMA MASUDA in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toshiki Karigyo' if Toshiki Karigyo advances against CHOMA MASUDA. This market will resolve to 'CHOMA MASUDA' if CHOMA MASUDA advances against Toshiki Karigyo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Karigyo vs Masuda match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karigyo vs Masuda match, as determined by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match’s location or rules could also play a role. Any information that alters perceptions of the relative strengths of Karigyo and Masuda is likely to impact the price of shares and the overall probability distribution reflected in this market.