TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tokitaka Ito and Ryo Minakata in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tokitaka Ito' if Tokitaka Ito advances against Ryo Minakata. This market will resolve to 'Ryo Minakata' if Ryo Minakata advances against Tokitaka Ito. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tokitaka Ito and Ryo Minakata in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tokitaka Ito' if Tokitaka Ito advances against Ryo Minakata. This market will resolve to 'Ryo Minakata' if Ryo Minakata advances against Tokitaka Ito. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Ito vs Minakata match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic representation of market sentiment. The current price indicates the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura: Tokitaka Ito vs Ryo Minakata match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. News regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimens could all significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in the market. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also influence traders’ expectations for this specific contest.