TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tin Chen and Taisei Hiraike in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tin Chen' if Tin Chen advances against Taisei Hiraike. This market will resolve to 'Taisei Hiraike' if Taisei Hiraike advances against Tin Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tin Chen and Taisei Hiraike in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tin Chen' if Tin Chen advances against Taisei Hiraike. This market will resolve to 'Taisei Hiraike' if Taisei Hiraike advances against Tin Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tanagura Tin Chen vs Hiraike match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability of a particular outcome. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated insights of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tanagura Tin Chen vs Taisei Hiraike match as determined by the governing body of the tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about weather conditions at the tournament venue or any controversies surrounding the players could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself could cause the odds to move, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities as traders react to new information or insights.